Fantasy Sports Addict: 2012

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

NFL Week 12 Predictions

Results from my prediction scripts.

Teams Pts Yds TOs
Texans 27 320 1
Lions 19 355 2

Cowboys 28 420 3
Redskins 21 330 1

Patriots 30 405 1
Jets 21 335 2

Bears 29 330 1
Vikings 14 320 3

Bengals 27 345 2
Raiders 21 365 1

Steelers 23 425 1
Browns 17 230 1

Colts 27 400 2
Bills 21 330 1

Jags 27 325 1
Titans 23 390 2

Broncos 35 410 1
Chiefs 14 300 3

Seahawks 20 385 1
Dolphins 19 295 2

Falcons 24 420 1
Bucs 23 340 1

Chargers 21 355 2
Ravens 20 330 1

Cardinals 21 325 2
Rams 19 325 2

49ers 29 465 1
Saints 17 290 2

Giants 26 380 1
Packers 23 360 2

Panthers 23 345 1
Eagles 20 370 2

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Week 10 Predictions

Here is the output for this weeks predictions.

TEAMS PTS YDS TOS
Colts 21 385 2
Jaguars 20 270 1

Broncos 28 410 2
Panthers 21 320 2

Giants 31 410 1
Bengals 17 325 3

Dolphins 31 380 1
Titans 14 350 2

Vikings 24 300 1
Lions 21 400 2

Falcons 30 465 1
Saints 21 340 2

Patriots 37 460 1
Bills 16 320 3

Ravens 29 350 1
Raiders 17 390 2

Bucs 26 340 1
Chargers 17 355 2

Seahawks 26 360 2
Jets 17 310 2

Cowboys 23 380 2
Eagles 21 320 2

49ers 29 390 1
Rams 12 270 1

Bears 23 290 2
Texans 21 345 2

Steelers 30 385 0
Chiefs 13 280 3

Thursday, November 1, 2012

Week 9 Predictions

Here is the latest weeks output from the prediction routine...

TEAMS PTS YDS TOS
Chargers 30 330 1
Chiefs 14 340 3

Broncos 30 420 2
Bengals 19 280 2

Ravens 24 405 1
Browns 20 330 2

Dolphins 23 345 1
Colts 20 345 2

Packers 27 360 1
Cardinals 17 310 2

Texans 37 420 1
Bills 14 275 3

Lions 27 500 2
Jaguars 19 205 1

Bears 35 410 0
Titans 13 300 3

Redskins 30 380 1
Panthers 23 375 3

Bucs 27 340 1
Raiders 19 380 2

Seahawks 21 330 1
Vikings 16 305 2

Giants 30 335 1
Steelers 14 390 2

Falcons 26 300 1
Cowboys 19 395 3

Saints 26 330 1
Eagles 21 465 2

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

NFL Week 8 Predictions

Here is my script's run through on week 8..

Teams PTS YDS TOs
Bucs(OT) 24 300 1
Vikings 21 395 2

Bears 31 390 1
Panthers 13 280 3

Browns(OT) 26 310 2
Chargers 23 385 2

Seahawks 26 300 1
Lions 19 400 2

Packers 35 450 1
Jags 12 250 2

Jets 21 330 2
Dolphins 20 340 2

Colts 28 400 2
Titans 24 345 1

Falcons 23 315 1
Eagles 17 410 3

Redskins 26 305 0
Steelers 23 420 2

Patriots 24 380 1
Rams 23 340 2

Chiefs 24 360 3
Raiders 23 350 1

Giants 28 345 1
Cowboys 21 400 3

Broncos 33 460 2
Saints 21 320 2

49ers 21 410 2
Cardinals 17 240 1

Getting Ready for basketball!

The NBA season is a short week away!

I've got a couple of leagues I'm preparing for and thought I'd throw some basics out here.
Much like fantasy football rules will dictate everything. For example the leagues that I'm in have 2 very different setups. One adds value to Centers, the other completely devalues the Center position to the point you could almost completely avoid the position. Based on the scoring parameters you'll need to decide what positions to put value to.

In general here is a short list at each position.

PG
D Wade
C Paul
R Westbrook
R Rondo
D Rose

SG
Kobe
M Ellis
A Iguodala
E Gordon
J Harden

SF
L James
K Durant
Melo
Josh Smith
P Pierce

PF
Dirk
B Griffin
D Granger
K Love
K Humphries

C
D Howard
L Aldridge
A Bynum
A Jefferson
D Cousins

These are based on general stats. League rules will vary.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Week 7 Predictions

Sorry for getting this in so late. Busy getting ready for basketball draft and of course the football season is well under way.. Output of predictions script follows...

Teams PTS YDS TO
49ers 24 370 1
Seahawks 13 235 2

Bills 31 400 2
Titans 27 400 2

Cowboys 23 395 2
Panthers 21 260 2

Colts 31 420 2
Browns 19 320 2

Texans 24 370 1
Ravens 14 335 2

Vikings 20 370 2
Cardinals 17 280 1

Giants 30 430 3
Redskins 23 340 1

Rams 24 300 1
Packers 21 370 2

Bucs 28 340 1
Saints 23 425 2

Patriots 33 425 0
Jets 17 330 3

Jags 24 310 1
Raiders 21 420 1

Bengals 23 270 1
Steelers 21 390 1

Bears 35 300 1
Lions 16 380 3

Thursday, October 11, 2012

Week 6 Predictions

Teams PTS YDS TOS
Steelers 31 420 1
Titans 24 300 1

Falcons 37 425 0
Raiders 13 340 2

Bengals 26 380 2
Browns 24 350 2

Dolphins 24 390 3
Rams 20 300 1

Jets 24 345 2
Colts 23 330 1

Eagles 28 375 2
Lions 20 345 2

Ravens 31 360 1
Cowboys 16 360 3

Bucs 30 245 0
Chiefs 17 470 4

Cardinals 36 360 1
Bills 14 380 3

Patriots 24 370 1
Seahawks 21 310 2

49ers 26 380 1
Giants 17 330 2

Vikings 26 380 2
Redskins 21 315 0

Texans 30 350 1
Packers 14 290 2

Broncos 26 400 2
Chargers 17 285 1
Scores were generated by computer program....

Thursday, October 4, 2012

Week 5 Predictions

Running through the script again.

Teams Score Yds TOs
Cardinals 34 370 2
Rams 7 250 2

Dolphins 33 450 2
Bengals 20 330 1

Packers 28 380 0
Colts 17 265 3

Ravens 37 380 0
Chiefs 17 420 3

Giants 30 385 1
Browns 13 320 3

Steelers 28 325 1
Eagles 20 370 3

Falcons 40 460 1
Redskins 12 270 2

Seahawks 33 395 0
Panthers 6 220 3

Bears 23 365 1
Jags 20 275 2

Vikings 35 440 1
Titans 14 260 1

Broncos 30 420 2
Patriots 28 330 1

49ers 27 360 1
Bills 20 350 2

Chargers 30 430 1
Saints 13 275 2

Texans 33 430 1
Jets 17 280 2

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Predictions for Week 4

Ravens 35 410 2
Browns 14 350 3
Ravens usually dominate the Browns. Big game by Rice should be expected, and Ravens D.
For the Browns a heavy dose of Richardson and if they get behind Little could get garbage pts as well as Weeden.

Falcons 33 400 0
Panthers 14 255 3
Falcons should take this. Expect all Falcons position players to do well. Especially Turner who should get the 2nd half to run the clock.
Expect a better game from Cam this week. Should get plenty of garbage time points with Smith, LaFell and Olsen. Stewart could have a good week if Cam gets heavy pressure.

Patriots 31 415 1
Bills 19 270 3
Patriots should start to get things clicking after 2 straight losses. Whole offense should be involved. Brady, Gronk, Lloyd, Ridley, Welker...
Fitzpatrick usually does well vs Pats even in loss. Choice could make a nice desperate grab at RB, but I wouldn't expect too much.

Lions 31 440 1
Vikings 16 230 1
Lions should play well at home. Look for more of the same from last week with Megatron and LeShore.
Vikings should have a hangover after a big win last week. Harvin and AP should continue to have strong seasons. Especially AP!

Texans 45 480 0
Titans 0 160 2
Expect a big showing from Foster, Tate, and AJ this week. Schaub should also be a solid start. A lot of TDs to go around.
Titans won't have much worth starting this week. Look somewhere else for starters.

Chargers 33 375 0
Chiefs 10 310 2
I expect the Chargers to give Mathews a chance to shine here and I think he succeeds. I think Rivers will be worth a start as well. Floyd or Meachem will be worth a start although I can pinpoint which.
Cassel could be in for garbage points if your desperate at QB with Bowe being the main receiver. Charles should be serviceable.

49ers 35 475 1
Jets 20 250 1
Look for Moss and Davis to have decent games here with Alex Smith attacking the secondary. Gore probably won't be a huge factor.
I expect Powell to start taking more carries to continue from last week. I wouldn't be surprised if you see a bit more Tebow this week. I suspect Tebow will be part of 1 of the TDs.

Seahawks 30 410 2
Rams 17 300 2
Expect the Seahawks to come out strong after the "win" from last week. They will feel disrespected and may come out with stronger sack totals. On offense look for more from Tate and Lynch with Rice as well. Wilson could be a nice sleeper.
Bradford hasn't been getting great protection all year. I don't expect that to change here. Quick passes to Amendola is their best bet to competing. Jackson should also have a big role although I'm not convinced that will equate to fantasy points.

Cardinals 24 280 0
Dolphins 21 440 3
Cardinals D should cause a lot of turnovers. I think Wells will get a red zone TD as well and Fitz should have a decent role.
Tannehill should have a high yardage day, but likely a lot of turnovers. Look for Hartline at WR. Lamar Miller should get the majority of the carries Bush or not. Look for Bush to play a lot more WR when he plays.

Broncos 37 350 0
Raiders 13 360 1
Look for Manning and the receivers to have a field day. Decker, Thomas, and McGahee.
Palmer could get some garbage time, but McFadden should really be the focus of the offense.

Jaguars 30 340 1
Bengals 23 390 1
Look for Gabbert to do well and Blackmon to possibly breakout. MJD of course should have a big role.
Bengals should have a decent attack. BJGE and AJ Green playing the bigger roles. They will just come up short.

Packers 40 490 1
Saints 14 220 3
Packers will come out hot. Expect ARod to come out blazing with Jennings, Jordy, and Finley all getting some action. Benson could get some garbage closer time.
Brees could have a big yardage game, but I expect he'll be giving the ball away a bit too.

Redskins 27 460 1
Bucs 24 240 3
I expect the Redskins to get a win. RG3 will have a decent game, but I think it'll be Davis that really shows up.
Bucs will be in it so I'm expecting a balanced attack with Martin and Jackson doing the majority of the work.

Eagles 27 460 3
Giants 21 300 2
More turnovers for the Eagles, but they somehow manage to win. McCoy will be the main guy. I'm not sure Vick is the guy behind the win though.
Brown should be the main reason Giants are in this. Eagles match up fairly well to the WRs here. I could see Eli as a bust this week.

Bears 26 260 1
Cowboys 19 390 3
Cutler and Marshall have a good history vs Dallas. I expect that to continue.
Romo will have that costly INT this game, or at least that's what the projection numbers lead me to believe. Will likely still have a decent game though.

All numbers came from a projection script. PTS YDS TO
Enjoy the games and good luck!

Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Predictions for Week 3

Here are the results for this week from the predictions script.

Team PTS YDS TO
Panthers 19 420 2
Giants 14 210 0

Bears 40 490 2
Rams 14 240 3

Browns 38 235 2
Bills 17 485 5

Jaguars 35 405 0
Colts 21 360 4

Cowboys 19 420 2
Bucs 14 210 0

Jets 48 375 0
Dolphins 10 320 6

49ers 26 375 0
Vikings 24 350 1

Saints 40 336 2
Chiefs 28 459 2

Lions 35 480 2
Titans 13 200 1

Redskins 50 500 0
Bengals 10 285 4

Cardinals 20 170 3
Eagles 14 415 4

Falcons 27 360 0
Chargers 21 315 2

Texans 24 310 0
Broncos 20 300 3

Raiders 24 355 1
Steelers 19 240 0

Ravens 33 360 1
Patriots 20 360 1

Seahawks 24 330 1
Packers 19 275 2

Strange results...
We'll see.

Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Week 2 Predictions

I've written a little program that attempts to make NFL Game predictions.
Thought I'd share them here.... These are computer generated predictions and not my personal opinion.
For gamblers it's usually around 64% correct against the spread the last 3 or 4 years.

Team PTS YDS TO
Bears 40 430 0
Packers 17 310 4

Bills 34 380 2
Chiefs 36 390 2

Panthers 27 420 1
Saints 21 270 2

Bengals 9 420 4
Browns 36 290 1

Colts 17 330 4
Vikings 37 430 0

Jaguars 13 300 4
Texans 33 390 0

Dolphins 14 240 3
Raiders 24 360 0

Patriots 30 350 1
Cardinals 10 240 3

Giants 13 260 2
Bucs 21 380 0

Eagles 9 420 4
Ravens 36 290 1

Rams 27 230 2
Redskins 35 520 2

Seahawks 14 220 2
Cowboys 23 380 2

Steelers 17 330 3
Jets 40 370 0

Chargers 37 330 0
Titans 7 290 2

49ers 28 280 0
Lions 23 410 3

Falcons 30 310 0
Broncos 26 380 3

What do you think?

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Getting ready for Week 2.

What we learned from week 1 is that expectations are not always what they are cracked up to be. So week 2 you must be cautious of what was real and what was surreal. I'm going to list a few players at each position and state my opinion on if they were real (believe it's repeatable) or surreal (don't think it's more the exception than the rule)

QB
Matt Ryan - Real - excellent schedule all season to do well
Mark Sanchez - Surreal - great performance, but how much was it made by defense?
Peyton Manning - Real - Best regular season QB.
Matthew Stafford - Surreal - He's better than that. Although week 2 has rough match up too.

RB
CJ Spiller - Real - Think he's a bonafide RB1 while Fred Jackson is out
Alfred Morris - Surreal - Don't trust Mike Shanahan with my RB situation at all...
Shaun Draughn - Surreal - Crowded backfield not sure how/why he got the carries he did.
Trent Richardson - Surreal - very talented player should breakout. Nice buy low option right now.
Isaac Redman - Real - Will have a rough time with Dwyer emerging and Mendenhall coming back.

WR
Randall Cobb - Real - Even when Jennings comes back it's obvious Packers have role for him
Kevin Ogletree - Both - I think it will depend on how the defenses are defending Bryant and Austin
Lance Moore - Real - A Drew Brees under the radar favorite
Cecil Shorts - Surreal - Not trusting Jags offense just yet
Stephen Hill - Surreal - Looks good, but rookie WR success is a rarity.

TE
Dennis Pitta - Surreal - Think he's a talent, but not sure how often he'll be targeted like this.
Coby Fleener - Real - Think he'll be security blanket for Luck for a long time

Got questions?
Comment away or hit me up on twitter @cjperk77

Wednesday, September 5, 2012

Season Predictions

I figured that I'll make my stab in the dark at predicting the season. I'll make my prediction a bit shorter and sweeter than most. I'm predicting that the Falcons defeat the Steelers.

The Falcons have one of the easiest schedules of the season and a very talented team. That should insure them home field through the playoffs. This is how they will get through the other difficult teams in the NFC.

The Steelers have a much harder battle, but I believe they've added the depth needed to make their way. From what I can tell the biggest competitors are the Patriots and the Ravens. I think regression and current injuries hurt those teams enough to prevent them from getting through the playoffs.

The NFC South should be won by the Falcons fairly easily with the Saints taking on the interesting experiment of a season without a coach. The Bucs and Panthers should both improve, but probably won't threaten the Falcons. I wouldn't be surprised if Saints end up 3rd or even 4th in the division this year with all the obstacles they are trying to overcome.

The AFC North should be won by the Steelers with the Bengals and Ravens fighting for 2nd. Bengals may pull off 2nd in the division. Ravens will have troubles on defense without Suggs and Johnson. Browns are on the way up, but will have a rough season of learning this year.

The AFC East belongs to the Patriots. They should have no trouble winning the division. Bills should move into 2nd in the division with the Jets in disarray. The Dolphins have been in a rebuilding phase for a while and they still seem to have a bit of work to do.

The NFC East is rough to predict. The easiest thing to predict is the Redskins finishing 4th. After that I think injuries will play a large role in who wins and loses. Talent wise I'd put the Eagles in 1st, but Vick won't play every game and timing will be critical. Giants winning the Super Bowl last year showed that they can beat anyone. I have them finishing 2nd. Dallas has a mess on the O-line which is why I have them 3rd.

The AFC South should be won bye the Texans, but don't be fooled. This division is tougher than it looks. Titans are a very good team and the Jaguars and Colts will have a few impressive games this year with their inconsistent youth.

The NFC North is a very talented division. Much like the NFC East the easiest team to predict is the Vikings finishing last. After that the Lions, Packers, and Bear (Oh My!) are difficult to tell. Packers are the most obvious choice for 1st place, but the Lions and Bears seem more well rounded. The Lions are an explosive team with a great offense and good defense. I put the Lions in 2nd and the Bears in 3rd because the Bears seem most susceptible to injuries.

The AFC West is as much in the air as any division. The Chargers would seem to have the inside track on the division with the most talent (in my opinion). The Broncos should come in 2nd if Peyton comes into his own early enough. The Chiefs should finish 3rd and the Raiders 4th.

The NFC West has an obvious winner with the 49ers, but after that it's a bit muddled. The Cardinals, Seahawks and Rams all have their share of young talent, but haven't been able to put things together for a season. I think the Seahawks have the most to work with, followed by the Cardinals, then the Rams.

Sitters who should start and staters that should sit

Sitters who should start:

QB Sam Bradford - Owned in only 23% of leagues Bradford surely isn't starting for anyone this week. However, This week vs the Lions should be a shootout.

RB Robert Turbin - Owned in only 15% of leagues Turbin is a reach at best. Back spasms for Lynch loom and could mean significant time for this rookie.

RB Evan Royster - 41% of leagues he's owned, but here is the curse of the Shanahan week 1. He should be a good start for week 1.

WR Danny Amendola - To go with Bradford Danny Amendola should be catching most of the passes probably worthy of a start this week.

WR Doug Baldwin - Should be getting a lions share of receptions vs the Cardinals.

TE Heath Miller - Should be Ben's TE in the Red Zone.

K Steven Hauschka - Seattle should score plenty of points vs the Cardinals and Hauschka should benefit greatly.

DEF Vikings - Playing Jacksonville offers plenty of sack/turnover/TD possibilities

Starters who should sit

QB Peyton Manning - First game back vs Steelers is a rough draw.

RB Marshawn Lynch - back spasms are scaring me away from Lynch week 1.

RB Willis McGahee - Playing Steelers bad match up.

WR Stevie Johnson - On Revis island this week.

WR DeSean Jackson - Browns secondary much better than appears.

TE Jacob Tamme - Manning struggle plus strong D will be rough game for Tamme.

K Rob Bironas - Pats will hold Titans to few points.

DEF Ravens - Ravens playing good offense to begin year.

Sunday, August 26, 2012

Draft A Walkthrough

Thought I'd walk through the process of a draft. To preface the full story. This is a PPR league with 12 teams 18 roster spots TE is required with 1 flex position. Pass TDs are 6 pts .05 points per 1 pass yard. I've been in a league with these guys for more than 10 years. So we all know each other well. We know who to tell the draft time is 2 hours early so he'll show up on time and who to not worry about. No one has dropped out, and I was the last addition. I've got the 9th pick. Draft is set for a break-neck 60 seconds per pick. Let's Go!

So the first round starts and the big 3 come off the board with the top 3 picks as expected. Then Rodgers then Chris Johnson. All of these picks somewhat expected. Couple more RBs and Brady off the board. It's my pick. I see a mistake has been made and I must take advantage. Take Calvin Johnson who was 5th on my board. The only WR I'd take in round 1 fell to me.

Here's a recap of round 1.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 1
1	Shock & Awe	Foster, Arian RB HOU		0.0/0.0
2	Jakespeares	Rice, Ray RB BAL	12 min 37 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Crazeez Legz	McCoy, LeSean RB PHI	35 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Pashtoon Tribesman	Rodgers, Aaron QB GB	4 sec	0.0/0.0
5	Guido Pimps	Johnson, Chris RB TEN	26 sec	0.0/0.0
6	DJ Decimus Meridius	McFadden, Darren RB OAK	19 sec	0.0/0.0
7	Madden Curse	Brady, Tom QB NE	5 sec	0.0/0.0
8	MC Squared	Forte, Matt RB CHI	18 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Perkolaters	Johnson, Calvin WR DET	18 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Gimps	Brees, Drew QB NO	9 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Guppy	Graham, Jimmy TE NO	36 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Noonan's Irish Box	Welker, Wes WR NE	55 sec	0.0/0.0

Round 2 reverse of the first only 3 more picks and it's my turn. Off the board come Fitzgerald, Gronk, and Fred Jackson. My thought process here is single minded. I need to get a RB while they're here for the taking. On the high end of my draft board I've got Peterson, MJD, and Trent Richardson. I think the Vikings are rushing Peterson back. I think he's a high injury risk this year. MJD is not in camp with the Jags yet. I take a big risk with upside rookie Trent Richardson. Very nervous about this pick. Especially after he's recently been through a couple of knee surgeries. The rest of round 2.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 2
1	Noonan's Irish Box	Fitzgerald, Larry WR ARI	57 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Guppy	Gronkowski, Rob TE NE	6 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Gimps	Jackson, Fred RB BUF	10 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Perkolaters	Richardson, Trent RB CLE	55 sec	0.0/0.0
5	MC Squared	Jackson, Steven RB STL	6 sec	0.0/0.0
6	Madden Curse	White, Roddy WR ATL	9 sec	0.0/0.0
7	DJ Decimus Meridius	Jones, Julio WR ATL	28 sec	0.0/0.0
8	Guido Pimps	Johnson, Andre WR HOU	59 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Pashtoon Tribesman	Murray, DeMarco RB DAL	28 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Crazeez Legz	Stafford, Matthew QB DET	16 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Jakespeares	Sproles, Darren RB NO	52 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Shock & Awe	Mathews, Ryan RB SD	30 sec	0.0/0.0

On the way back around 5 more RB off the board. Still highest RBs on my board are MJD and Peterson. A take a look at a couple other positions. Think about Cam Newton for a couple minutes. Look at WRs. AJ Green had a breakout rookie year last season. So I pull the trigger on a young player with some upside. Round 3

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 3
1	Shock & Awe	Marshall, Brandon WR CHI	39 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Jakespeares	Charles, Jamaal RB KC	38 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Crazeez Legz	*Lynch, Marshawn RB SEA	1 min 1 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Pashtoon Tribesman	Martin, Doug RB TB	34 sec	0.0/0.0
5	Guido Pimps	Cruz, Victor WR NYG	21 sec	0.0/0.0
6	DJ Decimus Meridius	Jennings, Greg WR GB	52 sec	0.0/0.0
7	Madden Curse	Gore, Frank RB SF	6 sec	0.0/0.0
8	MC Squared	Turner, Michael RB ATL	8 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Perkolaters	Green, A.J. WR CIN	31 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Gimps	Bush, Reggie RB MIA	5 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Guppy	Newton, Cam QB CAR	12 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Noonan's Irish Box	Jones-Drew, Maurice RB JAC	46 sec	0.0/0.0

I watch Reggie Bush, MJD, and Peterson come off the board. I lay in wait for Bradshaw, but he's taken with the 2nd pick in the 4th round. I still need another RB and they are almost used up. I make a desperate grab at the last RB that I think get's a lion's share of workload for his team. BenJarvus Green-Ellis. Round 4 results.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 4
1	Noonan's Irish Box	Peterson, Adrian RB MIN	59 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Guppy	*Bradshaw, Ahmad RB NYG	1 min 1 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Gimps	Harvin, Percy WR MIN	4 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Perkolaters	Green-Ellis, BenJarvus RB CIN	33 sec	0.0/0.0
5	MC Squared	Davis, Vernon TE SF	11 sec	0.0/0.0
6	Madden Curse	*Bryant, Dez WR DAL	1 min 1 sec	0.0/0.0
7	DJ Decimus Meridius	Ryan, Matt QB ATL	24 sec	0.0/0.0
8	Guido Pimps	Brown, Donald RB IND	41 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Pashtoon Tribesman	Hernandez, Aaron TE NE	32 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Crazeez Legz	Gates, Antonio TE SD	8 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Jakespeares	*Witten, Jason TE DAL	1 min 1 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Shock & Awe	Nicks, Hakeem WR NYG	28 sec	0.0/0.0

A small part of my plan going in was to take Matt Ryan with my 5th pick. He's been moving up boards, but I just wanted to note he was taken earlier than where I had him pinned to be picked. Eli is off the board along with a couple other QBs before my pick, but with Ryan off the board I was willing to wait some more for a QB. Also from the list you'll notice TEs are starting to come off the board quite a bit now too. I think TE is deep and I've got a couple in mind. I see a nice grab for a decent PPR flex and I pull the trigger despite his age. Steve Smith WR Carolina.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 5
1	Shock & Awe	Vick, Michael QB PHI	27 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Jakespeares	Nelson, Jordy WR GB	1 min 17 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Crazeez Legz	Colston, Marques WR NO	29 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Pashtoon Tribesman	Brown, Antonio WR PIT	14 sec	0.0/0.0
5	Guido Pimps	Manning, Eli QB NYG	1 min 1 sec	0.0/0.0
6	DJ Decimus Meridius	Benson, Cedric RB GB	2 min 45 sec	0.0/0.0
7	Madden Curse	Greene, Shonn RB NYJ	7 sec	0.0/0.0
8	MC Squared	Rivers, Philip QB SD	6 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Perkolaters	Smith, Steve WR CAR	37 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Gimps	Ridley, Stevan RB NE	13 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Guppy	Smith, Kevin RB DET	35 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Noonan's Irish Box	Manning, Peyton QB DEN	54 sec	0.0/0.0

McGahee, Hillis, and Demaryius Thomas fly off the board and it's my turn again. Looking at RB again and all I see is David Wilson and Chris Wells. One if not both should be available with my 7th round pick. Look at WR and I'm Eric Decker has caught my eye, but I've got 3 WRs for at most 3 spots. Look at QBs because quite a few came off the board last round. I see a little gift wrapped up for me in the form of Tony Romo. ADP wise I got him just past his lower end of 63 (my pick was 64).

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 6
1	Noonan's Irish Box	McGahee, Willis RB DEN	57 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Guppy	Hillis, Peyton RB KC	12 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Gimps	Thomas, Demaryius WR DEN	5 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Perkolaters	Romo, Tony QB DAL	26 sec	0.0/0.0
5	MC Squared	Maclin, Jeremy WR PHI	8 sec	0.0/0.0
6	Madden Curse	Lloyd, Brandon WR NE	7 sec	0.0/0.0
7	DJ Decimus Meridius	Austin, Miles WR DAL	44 sec	0.0/0.0
8	Guido Pimps	Wayne, Reggie WR IND	37 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Pashtoon Tribesman	Johnson, Steve WR BUF	47 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Crazeez Legz	Smith, Torrey WR BAL	11 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Jakespeares	Bowe, Dwayne WR KC	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Shock & Awe	Decker, Eric WR DEN	42 sec	0.0/0.0

Just about everyone is about WR now. So my thought on Wilson and Wells looks about right. Then midway up Round 7 Wilson is taken. I'm a bit nervous, but Wells gets to me and I make the pick.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 7
1	Shock & Awe	Wallace, Mike WR PIT	47 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Jakespeares	Jackson, DeSean WR PHI	33 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Crazeez Legz	Roethlisberger, Ben QB PIT	51 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Pashtoon Tribesman	Garcon, Pierre WR WAS	18 sec	0.0/0.0
5	Guido Pimps	*Finley, Jermichael TE GB	1 min 1 sec	0.0/0.0
6	DJ Decimus Meridius	Wilson, David RB NYG	37 sec	0.0/0.0
7	Madden Curse	Jackson, Vincent WR TB	5 sec	0.0/0.0
8	MC Squared	Washington, Nate WR TEN	6 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Perkolaters	Wells, Beanie RB ARI	54 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Gimps	Boldin, Anquan WR BAL	4 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Guppy	*49ers DST SF	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Noonan's Irish Box	Gonzalez, Tony TE ATL	55 sec	0.0/0.0

Next player I'm thinking about going back to RB because it's a weak point. Thinking Quizz Rodgers or Ryan Williams. Hoping for Williams because I've got Wells. Gimps is a big Cards fan and should have seen this coming Williams taken right before my pick. Take Rodgers instead. Waiting/Hoping my late round TE Fred Davis is there for my next pick. ADP says he should be gone... Did I wait too long?

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 8
1	Noonan's Irish Box	Meachem, Robert WR SD	45 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Guppy	*Akers, David K SF	0 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Gimps	Williams, Ryan RB ARI	34 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Perkolaters	Rodgers, Jacquizz RB ATL	26 sec	0.0/0.0
5	MC Squared	*Eagles DST PHI	1 sec	0.0/0.0
6	Madden Curse	Celek, Brent TE PHI	2 min 14 sec	0.0/0.0
7	DJ Decimus Meridius	Jennings, Rashad RB JAC	48 sec	0.0/0.0
8	Guido Pimps	Bush, Michael RB CHI	28 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Pashtoon Tribesman	Griffin III, Robert QB WAS	56 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Crazeez Legz	Pettigrew, Brandon TE DET	13 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Jakespeares	Heyward-Bey, Darrius WR OAK	39 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Shock & Awe	Tate, Ben RB HOU	29 sec	0.0/0.0
Round 9
Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
1	Shock & Awe	Redman, Isaac RB PIT	53 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Jakespeares	Cutler, Jay QB CHI	14 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Crazeez Legz	Spiller, C.J. RB BUF	21 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Pashtoon Tribesman	Moss, Randy WR SF	32 sec	0.0/0.0
5	Guido Pimps	Thomas, Pierre RB NO	43 sec	0.0/0.0
6	DJ Decimus Meridius	Britt, Kenny WR TEN	38 sec	0.0/0.0
7	Madden Curse	Mendenhall, Rashard RB PIT	3 sec	0.0/0.0
8	MC Squared	*Gostkowski, Stephen K NE	0 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Perkolaters	Davis, Fred TE WAS	37 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Gimps	Keller, Dustin TE NYJ	7 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Guppy	*Young, Titus WR DET	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Noonan's Irish Box	Stewart, Jonathan RB CAR	57 sec	0.0/0.0

I get the pick! Great! Schaub, Little, and Blackmon off the board and it's my turn. Starting to look for some late round gems, and I see Sidney Rice waiting for me.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 10
1	Noonan's Irish Box	Schaub, Matt QB HOU	51 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Guppy	*Little, Greg WR CLE	0 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Gimps	Blackmon, Justin WR JAC	6 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Perkolaters	Rice, Sidney WR SEA	44 sec	0.0/0.0
5	MC Squared	*Gresham, Jermaine TE CIN	0 sec	0.0/0.0
6	Madden Curse	Williams, DeAngelo RB CAR	55 sec	0.0/0.0
7	DJ Decimus Meridius	Olsen, Greg TE CAR	47 sec	0.0/0.0
8	Guido Pimps	Tamme, Jacob TE DEN	14 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Pashtoon Tribesman	Ingram, Mark RB NO	14 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Crazeez Legz	Amendola, Danny WR STL	26 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Jakespeares	*Flacco, Joe QB BAL	1 min 1 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Shock & Awe	Helu, Roy RB WAS	37 sec	0.0/0.0

I've got a couple of backups targeted for my QB and TE. so I've slotted my next 2 picks for them. Unless I see a real value grab here I'll get them before others take flyers on them.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 11
1	Shock & Awe	Royster, Evan RB WAS	7 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Jakespeares	*Crabtree, Michael WR SF	0 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Crazeez Legz	Moore, Lance WR NO	22 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Pashtoon Tribesman	*Jones, Felix RB DAL	60 sec	0.0/0.0
5	Guido Pimps	Luck, Andrew QB IND	47 sec	0.0/0.0
6	DJ Decimus Meridius	Gerhart, Toby RB MIN	27 sec	0.0/0.0
7	Madden Curse	Daniels, Owen TE HOU	5 min 14 sec	0.0/0.0
8	MC Squared	*Leshoure, Mikel RB DET	0 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Perkolaters	Fleener, Coby TE IND	13 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Gimps	Moss, Santana WR WAS	5 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Guppy	*Vereen, Shane RB NE	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Noonan's Irish Box	Turbin, Robert RB SEA	55 sec	0.0/0.0
Round 12
Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
1	Noonan's Irish Box	Giants DST NYG	55 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Guppy	*Hillman, Ronnie RB DEN	0 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Gimps	Winslow, Kellen TE SEA	3 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Perkolaters	Flynn, Matt QB SEA	50 sec	0.0/0.0
5	MC Squared	*Cook, Jared TE TEN	0 sec	0.0/0.0
6	Madden Curse	Freeman, Josh QB TB	34 sec	0.0/0.0
7	DJ Decimus Meridius	Palmer, Carson QB OAK	13 sec	0.0/0.0
8	Guido Pimps	Bess, Davone WR MIA	29 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Pashtoon Tribesman	Ravens DST BAL	40 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Crazeez Legz	Lewis, Dion RB PHI	30 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Jakespeares	*Holmes, Santonio WR NYJ	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Shock & Awe	Rudolph, Kyle TE MIN	13 sec	0.0/0.0

I see Blount go right before my pick here in the 13th really good value. I've got my eye on a possible breakout WR Michael Floyd.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 13
1	Shock & Awe	Hightower, Tim RB WAS	37 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Jakespeares	*Clark, Dallas TE TB	0 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Crazeez Legz	Bears DST CHI	27 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Pashtoon Tribesman	McCluster, Dexter RB KC	21 sec	0.0/0.0
5	Guido Pimps	Lions DST DET	30 sec	0.0/0.0
6	DJ Decimus Meridius	Goodson, Mike RB OAK	29 sec	0.0/0.0
7	Madden Curse	Packers DST GB	7 sec	0.0/0.0
8	MC Squared	*Blount, LeGarrette RB TB	0 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Perkolaters	Floyd, Michael WR ARI	44 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Gimps	Cardinals DST ARI	7 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Guppy	*Miller, Heath TE PIT	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Noonan's Irish Box	LaFell, Brandon WR CAR	54 sec	0.0/0.0

Thinking of ways to shore up the RB and WR position with my next three picks. In PPR WR is important and if you can get a late round 3rd down back in your pocket it all looks better for you. So Mike Wallace just came into Steelers camp today and I found a solution for both problems. Target locked and loaded on the following players... Jonathan Dwyer, Emmanual Sanders, and Chris Rainey. Dwyer and Rainey because Dwyer looks like a big play waiting to happen. Rainey because he's the 3rd down guy. Sanders because the probability of Wallace getting injured and missing time is high making Sanders very valuable. Here is how it panned out.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 14
1	Noonan's Irish Box	Manningham, Mario WR SF	32 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Guppy	*Crosby, Mason K GB	0 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Gimps	Floyd, Malcom WR SD	21 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Perkolaters	Dwyer, Jonathan RB PIT	16 sec	0.0/0.0
5	MC Squared	*Janikowski, Sebastian K OAK	0 sec	0.0/0.0
6	Madden Curse	Pead, Isaiah RB STL	11 sec	0.0/0.0
7	DJ Decimus Meridius	Texans DST HOU	51 sec	0.0/0.0
8	Guido Pimps	Cobb, Randall WR GB	31 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Pashtoon Tribesman	Moore, Denarius WR OAK	36 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Crazeez Legz	Hartley, Garrett K NO	47 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Jakespeares	*Owens, Terrell WR SEA	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Shock & Awe	Morris, Alfred RB WAS	9 sec	0.0/0.0
Round 15
Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
1	Shock & Awe	Brown, Ronnie RB SD	4 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Jakespeares	*Burleson, Nate WR DET	0 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Crazeez Legz	Branch, Deion WR NE	3 min 28 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Pashtoon Tribesman	Prater, Matt K DEN	9 sec	0.0/0.0
5	Guido Pimps	Thomas, Daniel RB MIA	6 sec	0.0/0.0
6	DJ Decimus Meridius	Wright, Kendall WR TEN	45 sec	0.0/0.0
7	Madden Curse	James, LaMichael RB SF	14 sec	0.0/0.0
8	MC Squared	*Lewis, Marcedes TE JAC	0 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Perkolaters	Sanders, Emmanuel WR PIT	33 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Gimps	Tannehill, Ryan QB MIA	6 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Guppy	*Starks, James RB GB	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Noonan's Irish Box	Bennett, Martellus TE NYG	11 sec	0.0/0.0
Round 16
Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
1	Noonan's Irish Box	Bradford, Sam QB STL	3 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Guppy	*Scott, Bernard RB CIN	0 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Gimps	Jets DST NYJ	15 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Perkolaters	Rainey, Chris RB PIT	3 sec	0.0/0.0
5	MC Squared	*Locker, Jake QB TEN	1 sec	0.0/0.0
6	Madden Curse	Hanson, Jason K DET	16 sec	0.0/0.0
7	DJ Decimus Meridius	Henery, Alex K PHI	33 sec	0.0/0.0
8	Guido Pimps	Jeffery, Alshon WR CHI	3 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Pashtoon Tribesman	Chandler, Scott TE BUF	21 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Crazeez Legz	*Dickson, Ed TE BAL	0 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Jakespeares	*Cowboys DST DAL	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Shock & Awe	Broncos DST DEN	38 sec	0.0/0.0

Got them all. Last two pick are up. Need to get Defense and Kicker and we are done. Somehow a staunch Steelers D falls to me in round 17. So I jump on it, and Kaeding in 18 for my kicker. I take them and we're out. Here are the last couple of rounds of the draft.

Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
Round 17
1	Shock & Awe	Bryant, Matt K ATL	49 sec	0.0/0.0
2	Jakespeares	*Bailey, Dan K DAL	0 sec	0.0/0.0
3	Crazeez Legz	*Patriots DST NE	0 sec	0.0/0.0
4	Pashtoon Tribesman	Seahawks DST SEA	10 sec	0.0/0.0
5	Guido Pimps	Tynes, Lawrence K NYG	7 sec	0.0/0.0
6	DJ Decimus Meridius	Pierce, Bernard RB BAL	54 sec	0.0/0.0
7	Madden Curse	Green, Alex RB GB	47 sec	0.0/0.0
8	MC Squared	*Falcons DST ATL	0 sec	0.0/0.0
9	Perkolaters	Steelers DST PIT	8 sec	0.0/0.0
10	Gimps	Rackers, Neil K WAS	7 sec	0.0/0.0
11	Guppy	*Best, Jahvid RB DET	0 sec	0.0/0.0
12	Noonan's Irish Box	Bironas, Rob K TEN	26 sec	0.0/0.0
Round 18
Pick	Team	Player	Elapsed Time	Pts
1	Noonan's Irish Box	Ware, D.J. RB NYG	14 sec (13 min 6 sec)	0.0/0.0
2	Guppy	*Smith, Alex QB SF	0 sec (2 min 42 sec)	0.0/0.0
3	Gimps	Roberts, Andre WR ARI	4 sec (2 min 45 sec)	0.0/0.0
4	Perkolaters	Kaeding, Nate K SD	26 sec (9 min 14 sec)	0.0/0.0
5	MC Squared	*Housler, Rob TE ARI	0 sec (1 min 5 sec)	0.0/0.0
6	Madden Curse	Gordon, Josh WR CLE	44 sec (12 min 59 sec)	0.0/0.0
7	DJ Decimus Meridius	Kendricks, Lance TE STL	17 sec (12 min 51 sec)	0.0/0.0
8	Guido Pimps	Fitzpatrick, Ryan QB BUF	1 min 1 sec (10 min 5 sec)	0.0/0.0
9	Pashtoon Tribesman	Jacobs, Brandon RB SF	5 sec (8 min 1 sec)	0.0/0.0
10	Crazeez Legz	Dalton, Andy QB CIN	59 sec (11 min 4 sec)	0.0/0.0
11	Jakespeares	*Bullock, Randy K HOU	0 sec (18 min 52 sec)	0.0/0.0
12	Shock & Awe	Ponder, Christian QB MIN	25 sec (8 min 34 sec)	0.0/0.0

All in all I think I did well. Comment on who you think had the best draft.
Thanks!